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Archive for June 9, 2008

Egypt (Country threat level - 4):

Clashes occurred over the 7-8 June 2008 weekend between Egyptian security forces and residents of the Mediterranean fishing town of Burullus (also known as Burg al-Burullus). The violence began on 7 June, after thousands of people took to the streets to demonstrate against a government decision to end a subsidy on flour rations. Thousands of protesters blocked a main road leading to the town for several hours using burning tires and debris. Security forces were deployed to Burullus and attempted to disperse the demonstrators, who began throwing stones and other projectiles at them. Authorities responded with tear gas, and as many as 15 people were injured in the violence, which continued for a second consecutive day on 8 June. As many as 8,000 protesters continued to block roads using burning tires and clashed with security forces, who used tear gas, rubber bullets and batons to disperse the demonstrations. More than 30 people were arrested; no further violence has been reported in Burullus as of 9 June.

ASI Comment: The lifting of a government subsidy on flour is a relatively significant development in Egypt, where much of the population is impoverished and relies on government subsidies. However, this most recent flour subsidy cancellation is reportedly only effective for the Burullus area; authorities will reportedly halt the distribution of subsidized flour to residents and only deliver the rations to local bakeries.Burullus residents reportedly prefer to receive the subsidies directly and bake a specialized type of bread that is “suited to long fishing voyages” rather than buying “standard” bread from bakeries. Because this developing issue appears to be area-specific, widespread demonstrations and violence is not anticipated elsewhere in Egypt. Additional protests — likely sporadic in nature and not pre-announced — are possible in the Burullus area, and as evidenced in the recent protests, may result in ground transportation disruptions. However, it should be noted that Egypt — like many other countries — has experienced increases in the cost of living that salary increases have not been able to match, resulting in incidents of unrest and street demonstrations. Because these issues remain unresolved, the potential for incidents of unrest in various locations throughout the country remains.

Spain / Portugal / France (Country threat levels - 3 / 2 / 3):

 Approximately 90,000 truck drivers affiliated with Spain’s second-largest truckers’ union launched an indefinite strike on 9 June 2008 to protest the rising price of fuel. The government has offered to support the transportation sector with flexible contracts and emergency loans, but drivers are demanding the implementation of a minimum haulage fee and discounted diesel prices. There are concerns over the potential of fuel and other shortages as a result of the strike, and long lines have been reported at gas stations and supermarkets. Striking drivers have attacked vehicles of goods that other drivers are attempting to drive across the French border into Spain despite the strike, and the incidents have caused traffic disruptions at the border crossing in Perthus and slowed traffic around Bordeaux. Slow driving truck convoys have also caused traffic disruptions along ring roads in Madrid and Barcelona. Traffic disruptions have also been reported in Valencia. Additional disruptions are expected in the coming days.

Similar disruptions are taking place in Portugal, where truckers have also launched a strike. Portuguese drivers have reportedly blocked the entrances to several factories, and trucks continuing to operate in defiance of the strike have been stoned, both while on the road and while parked at gas stations. Drivers have threatened to block the main road leading to the tourist region of Algarve.

Meanwhile, in France, where trucker strikes are also taking place, significant traffic disruptions are occurring around Bordeaux, as approximately 200 trucks were set to gather for a protest on the four main roads leading into the city on 9 June.

Indonesia (Country threat level - 4):

On 9 June 2008 the Indonesian government issued a decree severely limiting the activities of the Ahmadiyya sect. The decree prohibits the sect from preaching that Muhammad is not the final prophet. The government has been under pressure from two opposing sides on the Ahmadiyya issue. In the latest in a series of rallies, thousands of hard-line Muslims gathered on 9 June outside the presidential palace and the Jakarta police headquarters. The protest, led by the United Muslim’ Action to Disband Ahmadiyya, demanded that the government disband the sect. With the head Islamic authority — the Ulema Council — backing the hardline Muslims, violence against Ahmadiyya has increased. On the other hand, there are those within Indonesia who oppose any measures against the sect as a violation of religious freedom.

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